Monday, February 29, 2016

News in Japan - February

USA:
History Doesn’t Repeat Itself—Not Here, Anyway (USA). After discussions and deliberation between cities, states, and the federal government, many of these flood-damaged and flood-prone lands were converted into open space through government acquisitions, or “buyouts.” After 1993, parks and fields were created where homes had once stood. These areas were now easier to maintain and protect. Children could play football or soccer. Families could picnic in the summertime and build snowmen in the winter.
Record Missouri flooding was manmade calamity, scientist says Most news reports blamed it on the heavy rain, but a professor of earth and planetary sciences says analysis of the flood data shows much of the damage was due to recent modifications to the river. The flood on the middle Mississippi River, in turn, was remarkable for its short duration and the time of year. "It was essentially a winter flash flood on a continental-scale river," Criss said. "The Mississippi has been so channelized and leveed close to St. Louis that it now responds like a much smaller river." "In the meantime," he said, "inaccurate Federal Emergency Management Agency flood frequencies based on the assumption that today's river will behave as it has in the past greatly underestimate our real flood risk and lead to inappropriate development in floodways and floodplains." "The heavy rainfall was probably related to El Niño, and possibly intensified by global warming. But new records were set only in areas that have undergone intense development, which is known to magnify floods and shorten their timescales. "People want to blame the rain, but this is mostly us," Criss said. "It's a manmade disaster." During the New Year's flood, roughly 7,000 buildings near St. Louis were damaged, two interstate highways were closed for several days, the community of Valley Park was evacuated, and two Metropolitan Sewer District plants were swamped so that sewage was dumped directly into the water. The flood killed more than 20 people in Missouri and Illinois, caused several hundred million dollars of damage, and left millions of tons of debris in its wake.
The best way to protect us from climate change? Save our ecosystems There is now clear evidence that intact forests have a positive influence on both planetary climate and local weather regimes. Forests also provide shelter from extreme weather events, and are home to a host of other valuable ecosystems that are important to human populations as sources of food, medicine and timber. In Vietnam, 12,000 hectares of mangroves have been planted at a cost of US$1.1 million, but saving the US$7.3 million per year that would have been spent on maintaining dykes. In Louisiana, the destruction of Hurricane Katrina in 2005 led to an examination of how coastal salt marshes might have reduced some of the wave energy in the hurricane-associated storm surges. Data have now confirmed that salt marshes would have significantly reduced the impact of those surges, and stabilised the shoreline against further insult, at far less cost than engineered coastal defences. With this data in hand, discussions are now beginning around how to restore the Louisiana salt marshes to insulate against future extreme weather events.
Flavour of Dutch dialogues gets into 1 billion dollar US disaster resilience plans Morris has been closely involved in the competition and emphasises the tremendous Dutch influence in these projects. In particular, he mentions the climate adaptive approach that focusses on disaster prevention, and on the involvement of many stakeholders right from the start. "This is a distinct Dutch approach to urban planning", says Morris. "Also the involvement of landscape architecture shows the Dutch influence in these projects". "With the two competitions the housing department provokes the states and the local communities to think about their future and the social-economic development. The US is well organized on reactive disaster response. The competitions made them think of the future and long term planning for smart investments." 

Netherlands:

Vulnerable People:

Other:
With a 21 percent share of the national gross domestic product (GDP) and a 45 percent share of Pakistan's total workforce, it is crucial that agriculture be able to prevent and mitigate the impact of disasters.
Human-made climate change helped cause south of England floods, say scientists anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions increased the risk of the once-a-century wet January in 2014 by 43% (uncertainty range: 0-160%). The heightened risk of rainfall found in the meteorological modelling led to an increase in the peak 30-day river flow of 21% (uncertainty range: -17-133%) and about 1,000 more properties at risk of flooding (uncertainty range: -4,000-8,000).
Borrowed Time on Disappearing Land (Bangladesh) “These migrants should have the right to move to the countries from which all these greenhouse gases are coming. Millions should be able to go to the United States.” Making matters worse, much of what the Bangladeshi government is doing to stave off the coming deluge — raising levees, dredging canals, pumping water — deepens the threat of inundation in the long term. In an analysis of decades of tidal records published in October, Dr. Pethick found that high tides in Bangladesh were rising 10 times faster than the global average. He predicted that seas in Bangladesh could rise as much as 13 feet by 2100, four times the global average. “The reaction among Bangladeshi government officials has been to tell me that I must be wrong,” he said. “That’s completely understandable, but it also means they have no hope of preparing themselves.” “There is no doubt that preparations within Bangladesh have been utterly inadequate, but any such preparations are bound to fail because the problem is far too big for any single government,” said Tariq A. Karim, Bangladesh’s ambassador to India. “We need a regional and, better yet, a global solution. The family reunited on the road the next day after the children spent a harrowing night avoiding snakes that had sought higher ground, too. They drank rainwater until rescuers arrived a day or two later with bottled water, food and other supplies. In the weeks after the storm, the women of Dakope found firewood by wading into the raging river and pushing their toes into the muddy bottom. They walked hours to buy drinking water. “I don’t want to stay here (slums) for too long,” Mr. Gazi said. “If we can save some money, then we’ll go back. I’ll work on a piece of land and try to make it fertile again.” But the chances of finding fertile land in his home village, where the salty rivers have eaten away acre upon acre, are almost zero.

Thursday, February 25, 2016

Joso flood citizen's evacuation behavior survey

Last month at a meeting of the working group on flood evacuation and emergency measures, a professor from Chuo University presented results from a survey conducted among citizen's concerning their evacuation behavior and flood preparedness.

These are preliminary results, and as such should not be used as evidence until confirmed.

Over 500 people were questioned. It was found that at the time of the disaster (12:50 pm), about 96% of respondents were at home. 28.6% went to evacuation centers, 29.9% to a different safe place, and 41.5% did not evacuate.

Friday, February 12, 2016

UNESCO ENHANS project report

The newest ICHARM newsletter reports about the visit to UNESCO as follows:


ICHARM dispatched experts for the technical and scientific mission to Lima, Peru, and Montevideo, Uruguay, to advise UNESCO on the implementation of the project entitled "Enhancing natural hazards resilience in South America (ENHANS)". Chief Reseacher Masahiko Murase attended the technical workshops held in Lima on September 21-22. He also attended the workshop in Montevideo on December 10-11 with Research Specialist Karina Vink. They delivered a presentation on flood disaster risk assessment and identified the needs and capacities of the different aspects of natural disasters during the workshops.
In Montevideo, they also provided the basic information on ICHARM’s hydrological model, the Integrated Flood Analysis System (IFAS), to facilitate the identification of pilot river basins in Uruguay. These contributions would be ICHARM's next step forward in South America to strengthen the network for disaster risk reduction through science and technology.
(Written by Masahiko Murase)

Monday, February 1, 2016

UNESCO ENHANS project - IFAS now mentioned on UN-SPIDER website

Thanks to the collaborative efforts with Juan Carlos Villagrán de León, Head of UN-SPIDER Bonn Office, ICHARM's Integrated Flood Analysis System is now featured on the UN-SPIDER website.

The United Nations Platform for Space-based information for Disaster Management and Emergency Response (UN-SPIDER) was established by the United Nations in December 2006 and has as goal to 'ensure that all countries and international and regional organizations have access to and develop the capacity to use all types of space-based information to support the full disaster management cycle'.

You can find much more free downloadable software in their database.



 

Friday, January 29, 2016

News in Japan - January

Mississippi River inundates southern Illinois; Memphis is next: The deadly onslaught of rising waters and storms has killed more than two dozen people in Missouri and Illinois. "I'm from this part of the state and, quite frankly, it's almost hard to believe," the Missouri governor said. "It's almost as if you're living on some other planet."
Blizzard is over on East Coast, but Monday travel could be daunting (USA)
When the Big One comes: the woman preparing LA for life after a major quake
LA isn’t just idly waiting for the catastrophe. For the past year, Mayor Eric Garcetti has been working with the US Geological Survey’s southern California earthquake expert Dr Lucy Jones to develop an quake resiliency strategy for the city. In October, the city enacted the showpiece of that effort, a set of aggressive seismic regulations that will require retrofits on more than 15,000 buildings across the city.
The city of Los Angeles is complex, with strong neighbourhood identities, a fabled history, growing cultural assets, people from more than 150 countries speaking 220 languages, and industries – old and new – that are reinventing, innovating and constantly changing.
The city of Los Angeles has 87 other cities in the county and Southern California is much larger. So in order for the city to be resilient, working with our neighbours and the rest of Southern California to improve our resilience is really important.
In December 2014, the mayor’s office released Resilience By Design, an 18-point plan to help the city prepare for, respond to and recover from earthquakes. Its recommendations led to the city’s seismic retrofit ordinance, and also seek to address water security and telecommunications stability in the event of a large earthquake. Aho is working to improve the stability of cell phone towers so that they’ll be able to operate and connect people with critical emergency services during an earthquake or other major disaster.
The main tunnels that bring water from the California Aqueduct down to the Los Angeles basin lay almost directly on top of the San Andreas Fault, a major continental fault between the Pacific and North American plates. A moderate to major earthquake could destroy the tunnels and cut off the city from its water supply.
The key is getting ready, Aho says. “Typically you have a major disaster, a Northridge, a Katrina, a Sandy, and then you start making changes,” she says. “We’re making changes before.”

Netherlands:
Less muskrats caught in 2015 (Dutch) The number dropped with 6% to 88,650 muskrats, who often cause damage to levees by digging tunnels. The number of caught coypu (river rat) increased by 16% to 1,212. Their numbers have increased the past few years due to mild winters and thereby migration from Germany. The water boards are working together with local governments and nature organizations on how to manage the return of beavers, an endangered species that also damages levees and is causing safety concerns.

Other:
Deltares presents composition of flood maps using satellite data through Google Earth Engine Project coordinator Jaap Schellekens, Deltares: “The research shows that it will now be possible, with only one single application, to look at any location in the world, zoom in until 30 metres and see where it was flooded in the last fifteen years”.
Earthquake hits India's Manipur state: Seven dead and 52 injured in Manipur (India). At least three people were killed and about 40 others injured today in Bangladesh in quake—related incidents as people rushed out in panic. The tremor was felt throughout Bangladesh around 4:35 AM local time. In Dhaka, most people rushed out to the streets in panic.

Vulnerable People: 

Floods in UK:
This flood was not only foretold – it was publicly subsidised
Upstream flood banks now protect crops, not the city of York. Internal drainage boards – which are public bodies but tend to be mostly controlled by landowners – often prioritise the protection of farmland above the safety of towns and cities downstream.
Farm subsidies everywhere are conditional on the land being in “agricultural condition”. This does not mean any actual farming has to take place there – only that it looks like farmland. Any land covered by “permanent ineligible features” is disqualified. What does this mean? Wildlife habitat. If farmers don’t keep the hills bare, they don’t get their money. Scrub, regenerating woodland, forested gullies, ponds and other features that harbour wildlife and hold back water must be cleared. European rules insist that we pay farmers to help flood our homes.
We need flood prevention as well as flood defence. This means woodland and functioning bogs on the hills. It means pulling down embankments to reconnect rivers to their floodplains, flooding fields instead of towns. It means allowing rivers to meander and braid. It means creating buffer zones around their banks: places where trees, shrubs, reeds and long grass are allowed to grow, providing what engineers call hydraulic roughness. It means the opposite of the orgy of self-destruction that decades of government and European policy have encouraged: grazing, mowing, burning, draining, canalisation and dredging.
Natural flood management of this kind does not guarantee that urban floods will never happen. But its absence exacerbates them. Yes, Britain has been hit by massive storms and record rainfall. But it has also been hit by incompetence, ignorance and concessions to favoured interests. This, at least, we can change. 
How the floods united the north – from chefs bearing curry to refugees with sandbags
The Sikhs had been dishing out free curry in Mytholmroyd for a few days when a man in his mid to late 20s came up to them, looking emotional. He had a confession to make. “I used to hate Asians,” he told one of the coordinators from Khalsa Aid, a Sikh charity based in Slough, who came up to volunteer in the West Yorkshire town after it was almost wiped out in the post-Christmas floods. “I used to be with Combat 18. But I’m so ashamed of that now, having seen how you are all up here helping us.” He vowed to go and apologise to all the Asian shopkeepers he had been rude to over the years.
On Sunday night, he logged on to Facebook for the first time in his life. “Hi, my name’s Mark and I lost everything I own in the Boxing Day floods,” he wrote. Within an hour, he’d had 80 offers of help from people he had never met in his life, prompting his second-ever Facebook post. “Incredibly overwhelmed by the response, not too proud to say tears have been shed over the well wishes and offers of support, again from strangers. I have to admit, I was a single, cynical man, living in his hometown of Sowerby Bridge, a town I barely recognise from my youth and I felt a huge disconnect. I felt no sense of society or belonging [to] the town where I was born. And it took a tragedy, at a time when most people focus [on] their own families. And yet, without request or reward, people have put their backs and hearts into helping strangers. It took a tragedy to bring a dawning of a new year with more hope for myself than I have felt in a long time, all thanks to a community I didn’t believe existed. I’m ashamed to say I thought Britain was broken. I’m now proud to say the scales have fallen from my eyes and now I see.”
While the floods helped restore Slade’s faith in people, they did show up the cruelty of a minority of others. (…) A week on, he cannot believe that anyone would be so callous. “The thieves took advantage of the fact that the power was off, so the CCTV wasn’t working and nor was the alarm. It makes you think these people know what they are doing. The only comfort we can gain from this is that people care. A hundred thousand people saw our Facebook post about the theft. All over the country people are trying to help us.”
Yasser al-Jassem, a refugee who escaped Syria a few months ago, explains why they were there: “I volunteered when I was in Aleppo. I was an ambulance driver and helped with humanitarian rescue efforts when the Assad regime bombed civilian areas. Now, in the UK, I also want to volunteer, and so do many other Syrians who recognise the importance of humanitarian efforts like this one because of the destruction in our homeland.”

UNISDR Science and Technology Conference on the Implementation of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030

On Thursday, ICHARM's PhD student Md. Nasif Ahsan presented a poster at the UNISDR Science and Technology Conference on the Implementation of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030 in Geneva, Switzerland. 

The poster was titled "The challenges and opportunities of early warning messages aimed at evacuation compliance: A case report following Cyclone Aila in Bangladesh" and was presented in work stream 2, Understanding disaster risk, risk assessment and early warning. The results are partially based on our previously published paper, 'Factors affecting the evacuation decisions of coastal households during Cyclone Aila in Bangladesh'. I am proud to have collaborated on this poster and very happy about all the constructive discussions that followed Nasif's presentation. 

Tuesday, January 12, 2016

Dynamic Deltas: Chris de Stoop: into de-poldering along the Belgia...

Dynamic Deltas: Chris de Stoop: into de-poldering along the Belgian Scheldt: During the last weeks I read two books (written in Dutch) by Belgian author/journalist Chris de Stoop. 'De bres' (the breach - 2000) and 'Dit is mijn hof' (this is my yard - 2015). I found them quite intriguing – especially because they deal with the perspective of Belgian farmers regarding de-poldering plans and actions along the Belgian side of the Scheldt river. Although what follows below is far from a review (you may want to read this, although it is in Dutch), a short outline of his story is presented below. To start with the my main conclusions, drawn from the books: 1) de-poldering is not typically a Dutch thing, and 2) when it comes to driving forces, it is not only water/nature coalitions, but in this case also the harbour of Antwerp that drives the practice.

Read more on Dynamic Deltas